Browsing by Author "Gürpınar, Furkan"
Now showing items 1-2 of 2
-
Bayesian and Graph Theory Approaches to Develop Strategic Early Warning Systems for the Milk Market
Authors:
Publisher and Date:(Springer-Verlag Berlin, 2015)This paper presents frameworks for developing a Strategic Early Warning System allowing the estimatation of the future state of the milk market. Thus this research is in line with the recent call from the EU commission for tools which help to better address such a highly volatile market. We applied different multivariate time series regression and Bayesian networks on a pre-determined map of relations between macro economic indicators. The evaluation of our findings with root mean square error ...
-
A Bayesian approach to developing a strategic early warning system for the French milk market
Authors:
Publisher and Date:(Halmstad University, 2017)A new approach is provided in our paper for creating a strategic early warning system allowing the estimation of the future state of the milk market as scenarios. This is in line with the recent call from the EU commission for tools that help to better address such a highly volatile market. We applied different multivariate time series regression and Bayesian networks on a pre-determined map of relations between macro-economic indicators. The evaluation of our findings with root mean square error ...
