Uluslararası Ticaret ve Finans Bölümü Koleksiyonu

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://gcris.khas.edu.tr/handle/20.500.12469/67

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Now showing 1 - 14 of 14

Citation Count: 8
An Analysis of the Unemployment Selected Mena Countries and Turkey
(2008) Bilgin, Mehmet Hüseyin; Kilicarslan, Ismihan N, I. N.
One of the most important economic and social problems of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is the high rate of unemployment. Unemployment in the selected MENA countries like Egypt Israel Jordan and Turkey are examined as well as the relationship between growth and unemployment. For this reason active labor market policies should be designed to address job creation in addition to structural reform in labor markets.
Citation Count: 5
Art Investment: Hedging or Safe Haven Through Financial Crises
(Springer, 2020) Öztürkkal, Belma; Toğan-Eğrican, Aslı
We analyze long-term art auction sales data focusing on and around financial crisis periods with other investment returns to understand whether art can be considered a safe haven during volatile times or a hedging option in general by analyzing art auction data in a volatile emerging market. Our findings suggest Turkish art returns are either negatively correlated or at low correlation with other investments, including the equity market. We have the view that art can be considered a hedging mechanism on average to enhance returns and to decrease the risk of portfolios and improve diversification. However, we do not discard the safe-haven hypothesis, either. Although the auction data on the crisis period is limited, results of and around crisis periods show art returns are positively correlated with various volatility indices. In addition, the number of art transactions also increases after the crisis years, which may be a sign of liquidity requirement of some investors and an opportunity for buyers. The benefit is visible especially during years of contractions, which do not end with a very severe crisis, since the art auction market liquidity dries if the crisis is severe.
Citation Count: 11
Behavioral Biases of Finance Professionals: Turkish Evidence
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2016) Kiymaz, Halil; Öztürkkal, Belma; Akkemik, K. Ali
This study extends the existing literature on the determinants of behavioral biases of Turkish finance sector professionals. It examines the impact of various personal and objective attributes of finance sector professionals on their risk choices derived from their portfolio allocation and personal wealth data. Utilizing survey data from 206 professionals we find that these professionals take higher risk in the form of investment in equities when investing in home country firms (geographic bias) and investing in firms headquartered in their home towns (home bias). Those relying on their own predictions when making investment decisions and those with emotional biases invest less in equities. Findings further show that younger professionals professional with less education with lower risk aversion and with single broker accounts are more likely to invest in equities. We also find that those with higher expected returns invest more in equities showing overconfidence. Subsample analysis results for finance professionals suggest that portfolio managers and brokerage company professionals display differing risk taking behavior. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 0
Choice of Finance in an Emerging Market: the Impact of Independent Decisions Politics and Religion
(Springer International Publishing, 2017) Davutyan, Nurhan; Öztürkkal, Belma
This paper is based on a KONDA 1 Research and Consultancy 2 survey conducted in May 2014 on 2607 people forming a representative sample of the Turkish population. It focuses on how people’s religious and political characteristics impact the independence of their decision making regarding saving and borrowing. An earlier study by Davutyan and Ozturkkal (2016) reports saving and borrowing decisions strongly correlate with income, education, marital status and region within country. Furthermore, 54% of those surveyed did not save and the main motivation for those who saved was to finance children’s education or home purchase. Religious people and those with a conservative lifestyle are less likely to borrow from family and friends. Older, married and working individuals are more likely to have difficulty paying back loans. According to the results of this survey, religious individuals are less likely to independently decide on their investment choices. Thus, religious people tend to make investment decisions together with family, elderly and respected relatives.
Citation Count: 3
Competition in Turkish Banking: Impacts of Restructuring and the Global Financial Crisis
(Wiley, 2014) Yıldırım, Canan
This paper investigates the evolution of competition in the Turkish banking industry by taking into account the transformation in the sector in the aftermath of the country's financial crisis of 2000 to 2001 and the global financial crisis. The results demonstrate that the level of competition in the system did not increase despite the restructuring that was undertaken and the increased foreign bank participation. In addition the level of competition in the sector deteriorated during the global crisis. There is also some evidence that the market power of banks with different ownership characteristics varied and did not converge over time.
Citation Count: 14
Determinants of Saving-Borrowing Decisions and Financial Inclusion in a High Middle Income Country: the Turkish Case
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2016) Davutyan, Nurhan; Öztürkkal, Belma
We use a representative survey of the Turkish household sector and investigate factors impinging on saving-borrowing behavior. We run four probit regressions to elucidate (i) the saving decision (ii) asset choice or portfolio composition for those who save (iii) the bank loan decision and lastly (iv) the formal versus informal borrowing decision. We find income education marital status and region within country strongly correlate with those decisions. We offer some insights regarding the influence of variables like rural to urban migrant status and religious belief on saving and borrowing decisions. We discuss the long-term implications of our findings on the Turkish household savings performance.
Citation Count: 10
Efficiency Analysis of Black Sea Container Seaports: Application of an Integrated Mcdm Approach
(Routledge, 2020) Ömer Faruk, Görçün
The current paper carries out an examination about the selection of the proper container seaport, which in the Black sea region. This paper focuses on a research question. Is it possible to apply multi-criteria decision-making methods that can be applied more easily than the DEA technique for decision-makers? In order to determine the best performance analysis technique that can give successful results, two-hybrid multi-criteria decision-making models were selected and operational performances of the container ports in the Black Sea region were analyzed with the help of these integrated approaches. While the first MCDM model consists of the entropy and OCRA technique, the second hybrid model consists of the Entropy and EATWIOS method. The main aim of this paper is to discuss whether these proposed hybrid models can be implemented to make an effective performance analysis for the maritime industry. The second aim of this paper is to evaluate the Black sea container seaports with the help of this suggested model. The study reveals that the proposed MCDM models can be implemented for container port selection successfully and easily and both of them have given very closer results to each other in aspects of the evaluation of the criteria and options.
Citation Count: 10
Efficiency in Turkish Banking: Post-Restructuring Evidence
(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2017) Davutyan, Nurhan; Yıldırım, Canan
Turkish banking sector went through a significant restructuring process in the aftermath of the country's financial crisis of 2000-2001. In this paper we analyze the evolution of banking performance using a novel approach due to Ray [(2007). Shadow Profit Maximization and a Measure of Overall Inefficiency. Journal of Productivity Analysis 27 231-236]. We derive shadow unrealized profit scores' as well as shadow input-output prices' for each year and bank in the sector from 2002 to 2011. We argue these scores operationalize the Hicksian concept of monopolistic quiet life'. We provide some evidence the sector came closer to the zero profit condition' as well as displaying a closer approximation to the law of one price' over time. We show the variability of these shadow prices' essentially coincides with that of corresponding actual prices. We utilize shadow price information to show that business models and competitive choices of banks differ across ownership types with foreign banks competing on the broadest front compared to state-owned and privately owned Turkish banks.
Citation Count: 1
International Financial Crises and the Political Economy of Financial Reforms in Turkey: 1994-2009
(2009) Şakar, Birgül
This study1 holds for the formation of international financial crisis and political factors for economic crisis in Turkey are evaluated in chronological order. The international arena and relevant studies conducted in Turkey work in the literature are assessed. The main purpose of the study is to hold the linkage between the crises and political stability in Turkey in details and to examine the position of Turkey in this regard. The introduction part follows the literature survey on the models explaining causes and results of the crises the second part of the study. In the third part the formations of the world financial crises are studied. The fourth part financial crisis in Turkey in 1994 2000 2001 and 2008 are reviewed and their political reasons are analyzed. In the last part of the study the results and recommendations are held. Political administrations have laid the grounds for an economic crisis in Turkey. In this study the emergence of an economic crisis in Turkey and the developments after the crisis are chronologically examined and an explanation is offered as to the cause and effect relationship between the political administration and economic equilibrium in the country. Economic crises can be characterized as follows: high prices of consumables high interest rates current account deficits budget deficits structural defects in government finance rising inflation and fixed currency applications rising government debt declining savings rates and increased dependency on foreign capital stock. Entering into the conditions of crisis during a time when the exchange value of the country's national currency was rising speculative finance movements and shrinking of foreign currency reserves happened due to expectations for devaluation and because of foreign investors' resistance to financing national debt and a financial risk occurs. During the February 2001 crisis and immediately following devaluation and reduction of value occurred in Turkey's stock market. While changing over to the system of floating exchange rates in the midst of this crisis the effects of the crisis on the real economy are discussed in this study. Administered politics include financial reforms such as the rearrangement of banking systems. These reforms followed with the provision of foreign financial support. There have been winners and losers in the imbalance of income distribution which has recently become more evident in Turkey's fragile economy.
Citation Count: 0
Is U.s. Labor Market Flexibility a Prescription To Curve Turkey's High Unemployment?
(2011) Bilgin, Mehmet Hüseyin
This paper compares the U.S. and Turkish labor markets in terms of flexibility and draws some results for Turkey. In paper the U.S. is considered a flexible model and Turkey a rigid model. Since 2001 unemployment is one of the most serious problems in Turkey. Despite rapid economic growth in 2000s the job creation capacity of the economy has not improved and high unemployment still remains a worrisome problem. The paper also discusses the reasons for different unemployment rates in Europe and in the U.S. It focuses on the pre-recession period however and does not discuss the results of the global recession.
Citation Count: 1
The Maximum Surplus in a Finite-Time Interval for a Discrete-Time Risk Model With Exchangeable Dependent Claim Occurrences
(John Wiley and Sons Ltd, 2019) Gebizlioğlu, Ömer Lütfi; Eryilmaz, Serkan
This paper investigates a discrete-time risk model that involves exchangeable dependent loss generating claim occurrences and compound binomially distributed aggregate loss amounts. First a general framework is presented to derive the distribution of a surplus sequence using the model. This framework is then applied to obtain the distribution of any function of a surplus sequence in a finite-time interval. Specifically the distribution of the maximum surplus is obtained under nonruin conditions. Based on this distribution the computation of the minimum surplus distribution is given. Asset and risk management–oriented implications are discussed for the obtained distributions based on numerical evaluations. In addition comparisons are made involving the corresponding results of the classical discrete-time compound binomial risk model for which claim occurrences are independent and identically distributed. © 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Citation Count: 5
Perceived Financial Needs, Income Sources, and Subjective Financial Well-Being in an Emerging Market
(Springer Publishing Co, 2019) Kiymaza, Halil; Öztürkkal, Belma
This study investigates perceived financial needs and subjective financial well-being using data from a national survey of 2,567 households in Turkey. Financial needs are measured by consumer perceived ability to meet current living expenses in the short-term as well as their assessment for the retirement security in the long-term. We also investigate how income sources are related to subjective financial well-being. Findings show that households' daily concerns including the inability to meet short-term expenses including healthcare, daily living expenses (food and utilities), and the inability to maintain the existing living standard are highly significant factors in explaining their subjective financial well-being. We also find that having enough income during retirement and ability to find a job in the future are positively related to subjective financial well-being. Finally, when households ' incomes are from work, rental properties, family, and pension, they feel more financially secure.
Citation Count: 4
Political Turmoil and the Impact of Foreign Orders on Equity Prices
(Elsevier, 2020) Tiniç, Murat; Savaşer, Tanseli
This paper examines whether foreign investors possess an information advantage over local investors in the Turkish stock market between 2007 and 2015. We find that foreign investors have an information advantage in 24 stocks, corresponding to seven percent of the sample firms. Foreign investors' information advantage tends to prevail primarily during a period of political instability, which started with the Gezi Park protests in June 2013. The adverse selection component of the foreign trade spreads, which reflects a permanent change in stock prices, rises significantly after June 2013, by 66 bps. Our results suggest that domestic investors' funding constraints, which limit their ability to impart their information on stock prices, may give foreign investors a relative information advantage during periods of political turmoil. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Citation Count: 0
The Relationship Between Firm Size and Export Sales: Sector or Size What Matters?
(Physica-Verlag, 2017) Berk, Niyazi; Öztürkkal, Belma
This paper examines the performance of export focused companies listed on the Borsa Istanbul trading in the emerging market of Turkey. Using the panel data of stock market prices (1995–2011) we study the performance of companies in different sectors and their return performance in the volatile exchange rate environment and devaluation periods of 1996 1997 1998 1999 2001 and 2008. The paper investigates sales market capitalization or asset performances’ statistical significance level with regard to these companies’ export level. We review the performance of these operational measures in an environment of changing foreign exchange rates. Regression analysis is used to measure the effects of currency devaluation on the companies analyzed. Finally the study analyzes the export sales of companies by sector following a period of sharp devaluation. © Springer International Publishing AG 2017.

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