Browsing by Author "Tiniç, Murat"
Now showing items 1-4 of 4
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Information cascades, short-selling constraints, and herding in equity markets
Authors:Tiniç, Murat; Iqbal, Muhammad Sabeeh; Mahmud, Syed F.
Publisher and Date:(Borsa İstanbul Anonim Şirketi, 2020)This paper examines the relationship between informed trading and herding in Borsa İstanbul. Our firm-level cross-sectional analysis asserts that informed trading can significantly increase future herding levels. Furthermore, we show that the relationship between informed trading and herding intensifies under short-selling restrictions. Our results confirm the predictions of the informational cascades framework where the individuals disregard their private information to follow others. We show ...
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Informed trading, order flow shocks and the cross section of expected returns in Borsa Istanbul
This paper examines the relationship between information asymmetry and stock returns in Borsa Istanbul. For all stocks that are traded in Borsa Istanbul between March 2005 and April 2017, we estimate the probability of informed trading (PIN) to proxy for information asymmetry.? Firm-level cross-sectional regressions indicate a statistically insignificant relationship between PIN estimates and future returns. Moreover, univariate and multivariate portfolio analyses assert that investors that hold ...
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Political turmoil and the impact of foreign orders on equity prices
This paper examines whether foreign investors possess an information advantage over local investors in the Turkish stock market between 2007 and 2015. We find that foreign investors have an information advantage in 24 stocks, corresponding to seven percent of the sample firms. Foreign investors' information advantage tends to prevail primarily during a period of political instability, which started with the Gezi Park protests in June 2013. The adverse selection component of the foreign trade ...
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Who to trust? Reactions to analyst recommendations of domestic versus foreign brokerage houses in a developing stock market
Announcement day abnormal returns around analyst recommendations of upgrades average 35 and downgrades average -45 basis points in Borsa Istanbul. The nationality of the investment bank issuing the recommendation affects the magnitude of the stock market reaction. The absolute magnitude of abnormal returns upon upgrade and downgrade recommendations of foreign investment banks is larger than that of local investment banks. The differential reaction indicates that in a developing market country, ...