• English
    • Türkçe
  • English 
    • English
    • Türkçe
  • Login
View Item 
  •   DSpace Home
  • Araştırma Çıktıları / WOS
  • Araştırma Çıktıları / WOS
  • View Item
  •   DSpace Home
  • Araştırma Çıktıları / WOS
  • Araştırma Çıktıları / WOS
  • View Item
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

A primary econometric approach to modeling and forecasting the demand for fuelwood in Turkey

Thumbnail
Date
2012
Author
Kayacan, Bekir
Ucal, Meltem Şengün
Öztürk, Atakan
Bali, Ramazan
Koçer, Sacit
Kaplan, Erdem
Abstract
A primary econometric approach is presented to understand the determinants of variation in national demand for domestically-produced fuelwood in Turkey. Also included in this study is a demand forecast for fuelwood based upon the econometric model proposed in this study. Being in multiplicative form originally, the proposed model is converted in to a double-log or log-linear form, for the ease of immediate interpretation of the parameter estimates in respect of elasticities. Parameter estimation is based on a panel and time series data set that belongs to the 15-year period between 1995 and 2009. The demand forecast presented has a horizon of 7 years beyond 2009. Major findings of the research include: 1) fuelwood demand in Turkey appears to conform to the law of demand with an inverse price-demand relationship; 2) fuelwood demand is notably price-sensitive with relatively high price elasticity; 3) fuelwood does not appear to be a related (complementary or substitute) good with coal and natural gas; and 4) fuelwood in Turkey is likely to be a "normal good" in respect of demand-income relationship. Meanwhile, based upon the proposed model here, fuelwood demand in Turkey may reasonably continue to show a downward trend till a level of 5 million m(3) per annum, which is an about 50% reduction from the demand level in 1995. Further research is particularly needed for Turkey in view of the rapidly changing socio-economic profile of rural and urban population, which is being reflected in the demand for energy from wood in forms besides wood in the raw.

Source

Journal of Food Agriculture & Environment

Issue

3-4

Volume

10

Pages

934-937

URI

https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12469/3878

Collections

  • Araştırma Çıktıları / Scopus [1565]
  • Araştırma Çıktıları / WOS [1518]

Keywords

Fuel wood demand
Econometric model
Regression analysis
Demand forecast
Turkish forestry

Share


DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
Contact Us | Send Feedback
Theme by 
@mire NV
 

 

Browse

All of DSpaceCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateBy AuthorsBy TitlesBy SubjectsBy TypesBy LanguagesBy DepartmentsBy PublishersBy KHAS AuthorsBy Access TypesThis CollectionBy Issue DateBy AuthorsBy TitlesBy SubjectsBy TypesBy LanguagesBy DepartmentsBy PublishersBy KHAS AuthorsBy Access Types

My Account

LoginRegister

Statistics

View Google Analytics Statistics

DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
Contact Us | Send Feedback
Theme by 
@mire NV