The Nexus Between Migration and Environmental Degradation Based on Fundamental Climate Variables and Extreme Climate Indices for the Mena Domain

dc.authorscopusid 57193328766
dc.authorscopusid 58545798500
dc.authorscopusid 35977222100
dc.authorscopusid 6603043882
dc.authorwosid Kurnaz, Levent/B-8925-2008
dc.authorwosid An, Nazan/Abh-1121-2021
dc.authorwosid Ucal, Meltem/X-2003-2018
dc.contributor.author Ucal, Meltem
dc.contributor.author Demiralay, Zekican
dc.contributor.author Ucal, Meltem
dc.contributor.author Kurnaz, M. Levent
dc.contributor.other Economics
dc.date.accessioned 2025-05-15T18:39:23Z
dc.date.available 2025-05-15T18:39:23Z
dc.date.issued 2025
dc.department Kadir Has University en_US
dc.department-temp [An, Nazan; Kurnaz, M. Levent] Bogazici Univ, Ctr Climate Change & Policy Studies, Istanbul, Turkiye; [An, Nazan; Kurnaz, M. Levent] Bogazici Univ, Computat Sci & Engn, Istanbul, Turkiye; [Ucal, Meltem] Kadir Has Univ, Econ, Istanbul, Turkiye; [Demiralay, Zekican] Ludwig Maximilians Univ Munchen, Meteorol, Munich, Germany en_US
dc.description.abstract Environmental migration has recently become primary source of population growth and environmental degradation from extreme events has created the environmental refugee concept with a variety of manners affecting lives. For understanding of the environmental degradation impact on migration, a hybrid approach (regional climate modelling, RegCM4.4 and statistical modelling, ordered logit) has been applied for 65 countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) for the periods of 2021-2050 and 2051-2080. It is aimed to examine how climate change affect migration by applying fundamental climate variables (i.e., maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation) and the control variables (i.e., the hot days, the tropical nights, and the dry days) in the MENA. While key findings indicate an increase in the minimum temperatures (Tmin) in future in all populous cities, the water amount may further decrease in the mid-latitude and Mediterranean with temperate climates due to precipitation change. While it may pose a high risk in the regions having experienced extreme temperatures e.g., tropical nights (Tn), it may further adversely affect ones not having experienced extremes. Considering statistically significant positive relationship between Tmin, and net migration rate (NMIG), and negative relationship between precipitation and NMIG, it may encourage migration to cooler regions. en_US
dc.description.woscitationindex Science Citation Index Expanded - Social Science Citation Index
dc.identifier.doi 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100564
dc.identifier.issn 2405-8807
dc.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-105003075004
dc.identifier.scopusquality Q2
dc.identifier.uri https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100564
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12469/7317
dc.identifier.volume 38 en_US
dc.identifier.wos WOS:001474209200001
dc.identifier.wosquality Q2
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Elsevier en_US
dc.relation.publicationcategory Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı en_US
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess en_US
dc.scopus.citedbyCount 0
dc.subject Climate Change And Migration en_US
dc.subject Environmental Degredation en_US
dc.subject Extreme Climate Indices en_US
dc.subject Climate Refugee en_US
dc.subject Climate Modelling en_US
dc.title The Nexus Between Migration and Environmental Degradation Based on Fundamental Climate Variables and Extreme Climate Indices for the Mena Domain en_US
dc.type Article en_US
dc.wos.citedbyCount 0
dspace.entity.type Publication
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