Short-Term Forecast for Turkey's Electricity Demand Dnn Vs Lstm

dc.contributor.advisor Kirkil, Gökhan en_US
dc.contributor.author DEDE, BERK
dc.contributor.author Kirkil, Gökhan
dc.contributor.other Civil Engineering
dc.date 2023-03
dc.date.accessioned 2023-07-25T12:14:24Z
dc.date.available 2023-07-25T12:14:24Z
dc.date.issued 2023
dc.department Enstitüler, Lisansüstü Eğitim Enstitüsü, Enerji ve Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Ana Bilim Dalı en_US
dc.description.abstract This study aims to estimate Turkey's short-term electricity demand using artificial intelligence algorithms. Electrical systems are complex structures; therefore, many details must be considered for the prediction. Electricity demand forecasting depends on many conditions such as climate, calendar effect ( holidays, day of the week, etc.), demographic data, and economic data. Turkey is a relatively large and crowded country, whose population distribution is concentrated in some regions and climatic conditions, population-weighted meteorological data were used as independent variables. Predicting the future is challenging machine learning can help us understand how systems behave by identifying and analyzing patterns in data. Two advanced artificial neural network models were deployed in this study: a deep neural network (DNN) model, and stacked (deep) long short-term memory (LSTM) model. Their outputs provided estimates of hourly electricity consumption compared with the actual data. For this comparison, mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) metrics were used. It was observed that the DNN model predicted more accurately than the stacked LSTM model. en_US
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12469/4381
dc.identifier.yoktezid 797587 en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Kadir Has Üniversitesi en_US
dc.relation.publicationcategory Tez en_US
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess en_US
dc.subject Short Term Electricity Demand Forecast en_US
dc.subject LSTM en_US
dc.subject Deep Learning en_US
dc.subject Artificial Intelligence en_US
dc.subject Neural Networks en_US
dc.subject Time Series en_US
dc.title Short-Term Forecast for Turkey's Electricity Demand Dnn Vs Lstm en_US
dc.type Master Thesis en_US
dspace.entity.type Publication
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Short-term forecast for Turkey's electricity demand DNN VS LSTM

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