A Historical Assessment of Turkey's Natural Gas Import Vulnerability

dc.contributor.authorBerk, Istemi
dc.contributor.authorEdiger, Volkan S.
dc.contributor.otherEdiger, Volkan S.
dc.date.accessioned2019-06-27T08:06:25Z
dc.date.available2019-06-27T08:06:25Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.departmentFakülteler, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, Enerji Sistemleri Mühendisliği Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractThis article aims at evaluating the historical determinants and implications of Turkey's natural gas import dependency. We implement principle component analysis (PCA) methodology to construct a natural gas import vulnerability index (NGIVI) for the period between 1986 and 2014 using five factors: (1) the share of natural gas in primary energy consumption (2) the share of natural gas in primary energy imports (3) the non-diversification of natural gas import sources (4) the share of LNG in total natural gas imports and (5) natural gas import prices. Results reveal that the first two factors have always dominated the NGIVI while the others were consequential but different times. Turkey's NOM increased until 2008 when it peaked and remained relatively flat since then indicating neither an improvement nor a worsening in its vulnerability. We also compared the NGIVI with the oil import vulnerability index (OIVI) of Turkey constructed in 2011 by the authors. Although there has been a remarkable decline in the OIVI since the mid-1980s the NGIVI has remained high until the present day. This result could be attributed to Turkey's different historical experience in importing oil and natural gas. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.en_US]
dc.identifier.citation15
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.energy.2018.01.022en_US
dc.identifier.endpage547
dc.identifier.issn0360-5442en_US
dc.identifier.issn1873-6785en_US
dc.identifier.issn0360-5442
dc.identifier.issn1873-6785
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85044458671en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage540en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12469/1192
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.01.022
dc.identifier.volume145en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000426413400046en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1
dc.institutionauthorEdiger, Şevket Volkan
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherPergamon-Elsevier Science Ltden_US
dc.relation.journalEnergyen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectNatural gas import vulnerabilityen_US
dc.subjectTurkeyen_US
dc.subjectPCA methodologyen_US
dc.subjectImport dependencyen_US
dc.titleA Historical Assessment of Turkey's Natural Gas Import Vulnerabilityen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationb4c97e9d-13fc-4805-808b-84de89af7c0a
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryb4c97e9d-13fc-4805-808b-84de89af7c0a

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