A new energy-economy-environment modeling framework: Insights from decarbonization of the Turkish power Sector towards net-zero Emission targets

dc.authorid Kat, Bora/0000-0002-6863-6940
dc.authorid Yeldan, A. Erinc/0000-0002-3123-4374
dc.authorscopusid 26321121200
dc.authorscopusid 57200929015
dc.authorscopusid 56047186000
dc.authorscopusid 8419727700
dc.authorscopusid 8677717600
dc.authorscopusid 6602826996
dc.authorwosid Yeldan, A Erinc/AAA-4707-2022
dc.authorwosid Kat, Bora/R-1990-2018
dc.contributor.author Kat, B.
dc.contributor.author Yeldan, Alp Erinç
dc.contributor.author Sahin, U.
dc.contributor.author Teimourzadeh, S.
dc.contributor.author Tor, O. B.
dc.contributor.author Voyvoda, E.
dc.contributor.author Yeldan, A. E.
dc.contributor.other Economics
dc.date.accessioned 2024-06-23T21:39:23Z
dc.date.available 2024-06-23T21:39:23Z
dc.date.issued 2024
dc.department Kadir Has University en_US
dc.department-temp [Kat, B.; Voyvoda, E.] Middle East Tech Univ, Ankara, Turkiye; [Kat, B.] Sci & Technol Res Council Turkiye TUBITAK, Ankara, Turkiye; [Sahin, U.] Sabanci Univ, Istanbul, Turkiye; [Teimourzadeh, S.; Tor, O. B.] Engn Procurement Res Anal EPRA, Ankara, Turkiye; [Yeldan, A. E.] Kadir Has Univ, Istanbul, Turkiye en_US
dc.description Kat, Bora/0000-0002-6863-6940; Yeldan, A. Erinc/0000-0002-3123-4374 en_US
dc.description.abstract The power sector plays a crucial role towards decarbonization for many economies, especially in line with the net-zero targets to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees C. Technical constraints intrinsic to the sector, penetration of new technologies, investment and operational costs, and its connections with the rest of the economy make the power sector a complex system to analyze. Although there are numerous studies to integrate bottom-up power sector technology models with top-down macroeconomic models, this study is the first attempt to link the three separate and interrelated models within a single framework: an electricity market simulation model, a generation expansion planning model, and an applied general equilibrium model. The proposed framework is implemented to analyze a feasible decarbonization scenario for T & uuml;rkiye, with a particular focus on the power sector. The results suggest that, given the existing capacity and potential for renewables, T & uuml;rkiye can achieve a coal-phase out by early 2030s, alongside a trajectory towards a full-fledged fossil fuel phase-out in power generation. The results also indicate that while installed capacity and generation of coal-fired power plants are reduced, real GDP and electricity demand can be maintained and the carbon dioxide emissions from the power sector could be reduced by as much as 50% in 2030 compared to 2018 levels. en_US
dc.description.sponsorship Istanbul Policy Center; Sabancı Üniversitesi, SU en_US
dc.description.sponsorship Istanbul Policy Center (IPC) of Sabancimath; University en_US
dc.description.sponsorship We thank Neven Duic, the Editor, and the anonymous reviewers for their very constructive comments and guidance on earlier versions of this paper. This study isa part of a larger project titled "Decarbonization Pathways for Turkey 2020-2050" supported by the Istanbul Policy Center (IPC) of Sabanc & imath; University. en_US
dc.description.woscitationindex Science Citation Index Expanded
dc.identifier.citationcount 0
dc.identifier.doi 10.1016/j.energy.2024.131760
dc.identifier.issn 0360-5442
dc.identifier.issn 1873-6785
dc.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-85194777766
dc.identifier.scopusquality Q1
dc.identifier.uri https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2024.131760
dc.identifier.volume 302 en_US
dc.identifier.wos WOS:001255396300001
dc.identifier.wosquality Q1
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd en_US
dc.relation.ispartof Energy en_US
dc.relation.publicationcategory Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı en_US
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess en_US
dc.scopus.citedbyCount 4
dc.subject Electricity market simulation model en_US
dc.subject Generation expansion planning en_US
dc.subject Applied general equilibrium en_US
dc.subject Coal phase -out en_US
dc.subject Fossil fuel phase -out en_US
dc.subject T & uuml en_US
dc.subject rkiye 's power generation sector en_US
dc.subject Linear programming en_US
dc.subject Energy storage technologies en_US
dc.title A new energy-economy-environment modeling framework: Insights from decarbonization of the Turkish power Sector towards net-zero Emission targets en_US
dc.type Article en_US
dc.wos.citedbyCount 4
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