Tekgüç, Hasan
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H. Tekgüç
Tekgüç, H.
T.,Hasan
Tekguc, Hasan
Tekgüç, Hasan
Tekgüç, HASAN
Tekguc H.
HASAN TEKGÜÇ
Tekgüç,H.
T., Hasan
Hasan TEKGÜÇ
TEKGÜÇ, Hasan
Hasan Tekgüç
Tekguc,H.
TEKGÜÇ, HASAN
Hasan, Tekguc
Tekguc,Hasan
Tekgüç, Hasan
Tekgüç, H.
T.,Hasan
Tekguc, Hasan
Tekgüç, Hasan
Tekgüç, HASAN
Tekguc H.
HASAN TEKGÜÇ
Tekgüç,H.
T., Hasan
Hasan TEKGÜÇ
TEKGÜÇ, Hasan
Hasan Tekgüç
Tekguc,H.
TEKGÜÇ, HASAN
Hasan, Tekguc
Tekguc,Hasan
Tekgüç, Hasan
Job Title
Prof. Dr.
Email Address
Main Affiliation
Economics
Status
Current Staff
Website
ORCID ID
Scopus Author ID
Turkish CoHE Profile ID
Google Scholar ID
WoS Researcher ID
Sustainable Development Goals
4
QUALITY EDUCATION
1
Research Products
6
CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION
0
Research Products
10
REDUCED INEQUALITIES
8
Research Products
13
CLIMATE ACTION
1
Research Products
14
LIFE BELOW WATER
0
Research Products
2
ZERO HUNGER
1
Research Products
8
DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
10
Research Products
12
RESPONSIBLE CONSUMPTION AND PRODUCTION
0
Research Products
9
INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE
1
Research Products
17
PARTNERSHIPS FOR THE GOALS
4
Research Products
1
NO POVERTY
7
Research Products
11
SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND COMMUNITIES
1
Research Products
15
LIFE ON LAND
0
Research Products
3
GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING
1
Research Products
7
AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY
0
Research Products
5
GENDER EQUALITY
3
Research Products
16
PEACE, JUSTICE AND STRONG INSTITUTIONS
4
Research Products
Documents
20
Citations
158
h-index
8
Documents
0
Citations
0
Scholarly Output
22
Articles
16
Views / Downloads
9/0
Supervised MSc Theses
6
Supervised PhD Theses
0
WoS Citation Count
103
Scopus Citation Count
122
WoS h-index
6
Scopus h-index
7
Patents
0
Projects
0
WoS Citations per Publication
4.68
Scopus Citations per Publication
5.55
Open Access Source
12
Supervised Theses
6
| Journal | Count |
|---|---|
| New Perspectives on Turkey | 2 |
| International Journal of Forecasting | 2 |
| ILR Review | 1 |
| International Journal of Educational Development | 1 |
| IZA Journal of Labor Policy | 1 |
Current Page: 1 / 3
Scopus Quartile Distribution
Competency Cloud
22 results
Scholarly Output Search Results
Now showing 1 - 10 of 22
Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 5Poverty and Income Distribution Incidence of the Covid-19 Outbreak: Investigating Socially Responsible Policy Alternatives for Turkey(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2023) Tekguc, Hasan; Unsal, Ezgi B.; Yeldan, ErincTo counterbalance the deep systemic global crisis triggered by the COVID-19, many countries introduced a vast arsenal of fiscal policy instruments coupled with monetary accommodation. Yet, Turkey's response had almost exclusively relied on credit expansion and loan guarantees while minimizing the role of fiscal policy. Within that context, this article has three interrelated objectives. Firstly, we evaluate the effects of the crisis and the implemented policies on poverty and income distribution. Second, we measure the macroeconomic impacts of COVID-19 on the Turkish economy through a general equilibrium model. We find that these policies had a limited impact on reducing crisis-induced poverty. Finally, we propose alternatives to mitigate the effects of the COVID-19 crisis, which are compatible with fiscal constraints. Our results suggest that by pursuing a targeted fiscal income transfer programme covering wage earners and small-sized enterprises, Turkey could have achieved a more egalitarian and effective response to the Covid-19 crisis.Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 7Ethnic Fractionalization Conflict and Educational Development in Turkey(Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2019) Oyvat, Cem; Tekgüç, HasanWe examine the impact of ethnic fractionalization and conflict on limiting the educational development in Southeastern Turkey. Our estimates show that although the armed conflict in the region did not directly hinder education investments it reduced school enrolment rates at middle and high school levels while increasing enrolment at the primary school level. Moreover we show that provinces with higher percentages of Kurdish population received less education investment. These results suggest that the neglect of Kurdish areas is an important factor behind Southeastern Turkey's educational underdevelopment while land inequality and the armed conflict had mixed effects on education in the region.Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 8Does Migration Contribute To Women's Empowerment? Portrait of Urban Turkey and Istanbul(Routledge Journals Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2019) Eryar, Değer; Tekgüç, Hasan; Toktaş, ŞuleThis article empirically investigates the impact of internal migration on women's empowerment in urban areas of Turkey. Based on data from a nationally representative household survey we find that migration exerts a positive impact in urban settings through improvements in educational attainment and labor market outcomes. Migration contributes to women's empowerment by raising their education levels and lowering the gap in schooling between men and women. Migration also allows migrants both men and women and particularly those with tertiary education to access jobs and occupations in high wage regions like Istanbul. However unlike in education a gender wage gap persists even after migration.Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 5Heterogeneous Effects of Minimum Wage on Labor Market Outcomes: a Case Study From Turkey(Walter de Gruyter, 2020) Işık, Enes; Orhangazi, Özgür; Tekgüç, HasanWe assess the effects of a sharp minimum wage increase on wages, informality, and employment in Turkey, a large developing economy with one of the highest minimum wage-to-average wage ratios among OECD countries and widespread discrepancies between labor market outcomes of women and of men. We look at the quasi-experimental 2016 minimum wage increase and pay attention to identifying information coming from demographic groups. We find that the increase in the minimum wage had an economically substantial and statistically significant positive impact on wages. Despite the positive wage effects of the increase, we find no negative employment effects. However, we show that the minimum wage increase may have caused an increase in the share of informal employment among workers with less than tertiary education, especially for such workers working for small firmsArticle Counterfactual Reconciliation: Incorporating Aggregation Constraints for More Accurate Causal Effect Estimates(Elsevier B.V., 2022) Cengiz, D.; Tekgüç, H.We extend the scope of the forecast reconciliation literature and use its tools in the context of causal inference. Researchers are interested in both the average treatment effect on the treated and treatment effect heterogeneity. We show that ex post correction of the counterfactual estimates using the aggregation constraints that stem from the hierarchical or grouped structure of the data is likely to yield more accurate estimates. Building on the geometric interpretation of forecast reconciliation, we provide additional insights into the exact factors determining the size of the accuracy improvement due to the reconciliation. We experiment with U.S. GDP and employment data. We find that the reconciled treatment effect estimates tend to be closer to the truth than the original (base) counterfactual estimates even in cases where the aggregation constraints are non-linear. Consistent with our theoretical expectations, improvement is greater when machine learning methods are used. © 2022 International Institute of ForecastersMaster Thesis Yerel Yönetimlerin Vergisiz Finansmanı: Yiyorlar ama Çalışıyorlar Çelişkisi(2025) Almaz, Hüseyin Emre; Tekgüç, HasanBu tez, Türkiye'deki belirli yerel yönetimlerin kentsel arazilerin ticarileştirilmesi ve inşaata açılması ile elde edilen gelirin, yani vergisiz elde edilen finansın, yerel yönetim bütçelerine olan etkisini ve yaratılan kentsel rantın dağıtım kanallarını incelemektedir. Kentsel arazilerin ticarileştirilmesi, özellikle hızlı kentleşme dönemlerinde inşaat faaliyetlerine uygulanan ücretler yoluyla yerel hükümet gelirlerini artırmakta önemli bir rol oynayabilir. Bu tür faaliyetlere uygulanan ücretler, vergilerde herhangi bir artış olmadan yerel bütçeleri büyütebilir. Bu yöntem literatürde vergisiz (kamu) finansmanı olarak adlandırılır. Değerli kamu arazilerinin kalkınma için tahsisi yolsuzlukla ilişkilendirilebilir. Bu nedenle, hızlı kentleşme dönemlerinde yerel siyasetin görünüşte çelişkili karakterleri üzerine tartışılabilir: yolsuz ama yetkin yöneticiler. Son 40 yılda Çin'deki hızlı kentleşme, literatürde bu tür uygulamaların özü olarak kabul edilir. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye için vergisiz finansman tahminleri üreterek literatüre katkıda bulunulmaktadır. Ampirik analizde, bu tür gelirlerin yerel hükümet bütçelerindeki payı tahmin edilmektedir. 2007-2022 dönemi için bilanço verilerini yapı kullanım ve ruhsat izni verileriyle birleştirilmesinin ardından, ilk olarak, 2018'e kadar yerel gelirlerde gerçek bir artış ve sonrasında yapı kullanım eğilimlerine paralel olarak keskin bir düşüş gözlemlenmiştir. Daha sonra inşaatla ilgili faaliyetlerden elde edilen gelir payları tahmin edilmiştir. İstanbul belediyeleri için arazi ticarileştirmeyle ilgili gelirlerin ortalama payı %6-46 aralığındadır. Bir kıyas noktası olarak, arazi ticarileştirmesinden elde edilen belediye gelirleri, 2000'lerde Çin'deki belirli yerel yönetim gelirlerinin %16-46'sını oluşturmaktadır (Lin & Zhang, 2014).Master Thesis 4+4+4 Zorunlu Eğitim Yasasının Okullaşma ve İstihdam Üzerindeki Etkisi(2025) Yılmaz, Funda Başak; Tekgüç, HasanBu çalışmanın amacı 12 yıllık (4+4+4) zorunlu eğitim yasasının akademik, mesleki ve dini (İmam Hatip Lisesi (IHL)) lise mezunları üzerindeki orta-uzun vade de eğitim ve işgücü piyasası sonuçlarını araştırmaktır. Bilinen kadarıyla, bu çalışma IHL mezunlarının istihdam, eğitim, evlilik ve NEET etkilerini geleneksel meslek lise mezunlarından ayrı olarak araştıran ilk çalışmadır. İlk olarak, zorunlu eğitim yasasının lise mezuniyeti üzerindeki etkisini ölçmek için Regresyon Süreklilik Analizi Tasarımı (RDD) yöntemi kullanılmaktadır. Analizin ikinci kısmında ise reformun nedensel etkisini tahmin etmek amacıyla Farkların Farkı (DiD) yöntemi kullanılmaktadır. Araştırmanın sonuçları, reform sonrası her iki cinsiyet için de lise mezuniyetinin arttığını göstermektedir. IHL mezuniyetindeki artış erkekler için anlamlı ve pozitiftir. Ancak kızlar için yalnızca daha muhafazakâr bölgelerde bu sonuç anlamlı ve pozitif olarak bulunmuştur. Ayrıca, üniversiteye devam oranı her iki cinsiyet için de yalnızca daha muhafazakâr bölgelerde artış göstermektedir. Ücretli istihdamın IHL mezunlarında geleneksek meslek lisesi mezunlarına göre negatif ve büyük bir etki çıkmasına rağmen bu sonuç istatistiksel olarak anlamsızdır. Öte yandan, IHL mezunları diğer meslek lisesi mezunlarına göre üniversiteye devam oranında artış bulunmaktadır ve IHL mezunları daha az evlenmektedir.Master Thesis The Effect of Taxes and Transfers on Income Poverty in Turkey From 2003 To 2019(Kadir Has Üniversitesi, 2021) Tüzün, Yasin; Tekgüç, HasanUnlike developed countries, indirect taxes are main tax revenue in developing countries. In Turkey, the majority of collected taxes are indirect taxes on consumption and the share of these taxes account for 60 percent of total tax revenue in Turkey. Indirect taxes disproportionally affect lower income groups which can impact poverty status. We estimate the fiscal incidence of social security contributions, income taxes, consumption taxes, and social assistance by using Household Budget Survey data. We estimate poverty rate and poverty gap for different income definitions, market, disposable, and consumable incomes. We also estimate poverty transition between high, middle, vulnerable, and poor income households. We find that marginal impact of indirect taxes is generally more than marginal impact of social assistance and minimum subsistence allowance. We find that poverty rate declined significantly over time, but poverty gap and squared poverty gap did not decline as much as poverty rate. Our empirical model indicates that there is opposite relationship between retirement income and poverty status. On the other hand, we find positive association between youth and poverty. If there is any youth in household, this household is more likely to be poor. Therefore, we simulate poverty effect of modest child support scheme due to this positive relationship. We assign 0.4 percent of total GDP as a child support to households which have any youth in their household, then we find approximately one percent decline in poverty rate for both disposable and consumable income.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 1Redistribution Trends in Turkey: Unintended Consequences Vs. Deliberate Policies(Wiley, 2025) Tekguc, Hasan; Eryar, DegerWe investigate the impact of taxes, transfers, and social spending on inequality in Turkey during the first two decades of the 21st century. We employ Household Budget Surveys from 2003, 2007, 2011, 2015, and 2019 to estimate market, pension as deferred income, gross, disposable, consumable, and final incomes following the framework developed by the Commitment to Equality Institute. We show that the equality-enhancing effect of total taxes and transfers became more noticeable, resulting in a larger decline in the Gini coefficient from 2003 (12 percentage points) to 2019 (17 percentage points). A large part of the higher equality-enhancing impact over time is accounted for by the unintended consequences of structural changes, past policies, and demographic trends. We focus on the forbearance of self-employment and capital income under-reporting, the endurance of past pension policies, the effect of the declining fertility rate, and explicit policy choices in the areas of health and social assistance. Compared to Latin American countries, the Turkish welfare system redistributes more, especially through the pension system, but also causes relatively higher fiscal impoverishment for low-income households due to the disproportionately high share of indirect taxes.Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 9The evolution of unprocessed food inflation in Turkey: an exploratory study on select products(Cambridge Univ Press, 2022) Demirkilic, Serkan; Ozertan, Gokhan; Tekguc, HasanFood price increases stem from economic, agricultural, and political factors. Understanding the dynamics behind the food price formation process and assessing how potential factors contribute to food price changes will significantly affect policies formulated to manage food price increases. High food inflation rates have been a chronic problem in Turkey over the last decade, with unprocessed food prices rising faster than general price levels. In this article, we use exploratory analyses based on economic principles rather than econometric analyses. First, our results indicate that exchange rates are strongly associated with domestic food prices due to dependence on imported inputs. Second, deep-dive analyses on select products show that global price movements and pass-through prices from producer to consumer are not solely responsible for price increases.
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